普林格月评： 长期结构性机会延续，短期反弹几率增加

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The range bound Shanghai Composite is best described as neutral bullish. That’s because the primary trend momentum indicators are positive as are several sectors. The action in Shenzhen is particularly impressive, especially in the SME and Chinext sectors and that adds to the general undertone of confidence. For a really strong signal, Shanghai though, needs to rally decisively above the January 13 closing high of 3115, as that would reinstate the Index above its extended secular up trendline.

—By Martin J. Pring 2/28/2020

[本期观点聚焦 ]： （1）上证综指月度级别的窄幅振荡令多个长期指标持续胶着，目前为温和看涨模式；中期净新高指标表现积极，市场结构性机会凸显；短期扩散指标的超卖状态增加了指数的反弹几率。（2）深圳股市整体强势。除创业板指在此前突破2017年新高之外；深证综指近期伴随着成交量的放大突破了头肩底颈线；中小板指的扩散指标突破2017年以来阻力线。整体上看，2月末指数的调整尚不足以影响中长期趋势。（3）对于全球股指而言，虽然疫情对经济的冲击程度尚待数据验证，但扩散指标距触发卖出信号尚远，意味着全球股指长期上涨格局维持。不过，指数短期可能仍存在一定的调整压力，因净新高摆荡指标趋势性回落，且尚未进入超卖区域。

[上证主要趋势] ：

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